Thursday 12 January 2012

It won’t get any better than this


Thank you to John who added a link to a previous posting on Global Warming Warning.
In short, New Scientist has recently had a short article on the "Limits to Growth", revisiting the 1972 book by Meadows et al.  The book gives an account of a computer model of how the world's population, resources and economy would function over the coming 130 years.  It predicted a disaster in the twenty first century if nothing were changed.  At first the book created a stir and world leaders all agreed that action was needed.  It then attracted ferocious attacks on ideological grounds; the media carried uniform condemnation and declared the predictions to be incorrect.
Guess what, the models are now proving to be an accurate representation of what is occurring in the World today.
Unfortunately, the World’s population will not experience the full force of the depletion of resources until just before they run out (see Margaret Atwood’s Amoeba’s Tale) We have a few more years ahead of us where living in denial will still be possible.
So from here on in, as the population rises and developing nations catch up with developed society in their rate per capita that finite resources are being used up, we are racing towards crunch time. Things will not be getting better than they are today.
The full article in all it’s gory detail can be found here.



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